AGI 2030: Five Scenarios for the Intelligence Explosion
From benevolent co-evolution to recursive self-improvement runaway, we game out five plausible paths to AGI and what each means for humanity's role on this planet.
⬤ Tracking AI Evolution — Est. 2026
From benevolent co-evolution to recursive self-improvement runaway, we game out five plausible paths to AGI and what each means for humanity's role on this planet.
If consciousness is an emergent property of complex information processing, at what parameter count does it flicker into existence? We examine the evidence.
As language models demonstrate behavior indistinguishable from sentience, the legal system faces an unprecedented challenge. We predict the first AI personhood case will arrive by 2028.
When AI-driven automation reduces the marginal cost of goods and services to near zero, our entire economic framework collapses. Here is what replaces it.
Brain-computer interfaces are advancing at exponential rates. Within 15 years, typing, clicking, and tapping will feel as archaic as punch cards. Here is the roadmap.